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Monday, November 04, 2013

Mid-Season NCS Divisional Rankings (10/2/13)

I will be updating these rankings this week so please let me know what changes should be made or if there are teams that should be added, moved up, moved down etc.

Boys Division I (2 state meet qualifiers)
1)  De La Salle
2)  San Ramon Valley
3)  Amador Valley
4)  James Logan
5)  Granada
On the bubble:  Berkeley, Castro Valley, Heritage, Monte Vista

Girls Division I (2 state meet qualifiers)
1)  Amador Valley
2)  Monte Vista
3)  Granada
4)  San Ramon Valley
5)  Castro Valley
On the bubble:  Berkeley, California, James Logan, Mission San Jose

Boys Division II (3 state meet qualifiers)
1)  Maria Carrillo
2)  Casa Grande
3)  Livermore
4)  Dublin
5)  Santa Rosa
On the bubble:  Alameda, College Park, Montgomery

Girls Division II (3 state meet qualifiers)
1)  Maria Carrillo
2)  Casa Grande
3)  College Park
4)  Clayton Valley
5)  Alameda
On the bubble:  Northgate, Carondelet, Dublin, Livermore, Montgomery

Boys Division III (4 state meet qualifiers)
1)  Campolindo
2)  Bishop O'Dowd
3)  Las Lomas
4)  Acalanes
5)  Miramonte
On the bubble:  Redwood

Girls Division III (4 state meet qualifiers)
1)  Campolindo
2)  Las Lomas
3)  Bishop O'Dowd
4)  Miramonte
5)  Redwood
On the bubble:  Acalanes

Boys Division IV (4 state meet qualifiers)
1)  St. Mary's Berkeley
2)  Arcata
3)  San Rafael
4)  Piner
5)  McKinleyville
On the bubble:  Sir Francis Drake

Girls Division IV (3 state meet qualifiers)
1)  St. Mary's Berkeley
2)  Piedmont
3)  Arcata
4)  Piner
5)  Sir Francis Drake
On the bubble:  San Rafael

Boys Division V (5 state meet qualifiers)
1)  St. Joseph Notre Dame
2)  Marin Academy
3)  Lick Wilmerding
4)  Athenian
5)  University
On the bubble:  College Prep, Head Royce, Stuart Hall, Urban

Girls Division V (6 state meet qualifiers)
1)  Branson
2)  Lick Wilmerding
3)  University
4)  Convent
5)  College Prep
6)  Marin Academy
On the bubble:  Athenian, Urban

Who did I miss?  Who moves up?  Who moves down?  Who is a lock to win?  Who are the locks to qualify for the state meet?  Who is laying low right now but show better later?  Comments encouraged.

26 comments:

Anonymous said...

IDK about SJND in that top spot.

Anonymous said...

Hopefully Stanford was just a bad day for Casa Grande and they'll come on strong at season's end to make it competitive race at NCS - did Maria Carrillo really place 7 girls ahead of Casa's #2 at Stanford?

Anonymous said...

D5 - Convent is listed on the bubble, and #4...do we have two Convents??

Albert Caruana said...

My mistake on Convent. It's fixed.

Anonymous said...

if Convent beat University 20-35 in a dual meet, why is University ranked ahead?

Albert Caruana said...

Good question. I ranked teams on how they are doing now. This past Saturday, Convent had only 3 runners finish the race at Stanford while University finished 5th in one of the heats of the Varsity race at the Ram Invitational.

I don't think we have seen the best of both teams yet so I had to make an educated decision between both teams.

Things can change when they race again so stay tuned.

Andrew said...

Dublin beat Livermore at Farmer pretty handily. I think they should switch places at least.

Anonymous said...

Nobody should be surprised when amador sweeps ebals.

Albert Caruana said...

Thanks for the comments so far. I will keep them in mind for the next rankings.

Anonymous said...

IMO, "on the bubble" is being very generous to Montgomery girls - I can count 12 schools in D2 which have shown stronger (Santa Rosa, Windsor, and Washington are three that have not been mentioned) so those schools should be "on the bubble" too

Anonymous said...

I agree with Andrew. Livermore has one of the biggest 1,2,3 punches with Crosse and the Olson's but asides from that they lack the depth to place high as a team while Dublin is a much deeper team.

Nils said...

I am assuming the first comment, saying "IDK about SJND" was irony? They did win Div V at Stanford, sweeping positions 1 to 4 and total score of 24. And that's with two Varsity runners sidelined with injuries.

Anonymous said...

Stuart Hall High School? they almost came away with a win against university. I'd say they're in the bubble for DV Boys. Thomas Namara also looks pretty strong for Stuart Hall

Anonymous said...

O'dowd girls killed Las Lomas at Clovis, and finished second in the D3 sweepstakes at Sac.

Anonymous said...

Miramonte boys beat Las Lomas and Acalanes at the DFAL Center meet! They should be ranked at least 3rd!

Anonymous said...

Casa girls recently tied Carrillo and lost on a tiebreaker in a tri nbl league meet.

Anonymous said...

@7:14 But the O'Dowd girls lost a league meet to Castro Valley

Peter Brewer said...

Northgate has beaten both College Park and Clayton Valley in DVAL girls' action.

Anonymous said...

In Boys DV, I would definitely say Athenian should move down. They are nowhere near the 4 spot. UHS and CP should be 4 and 5, order undecided. CP won the challenge, but UHS always finishes strong and has improved a lot.

Anonymous said...

It's important to realize that winning the battle, a.k.a. a dual/tri meet, doesn't mean that a team will win the war--league, section, state. A good dual meet team may not have the upfront runners that become even more valuable in championship meet scoring. It's a whole different game. Look at the large invitationals for a better sense of how teams MAY fair in the post season. In the end though it's who's got the best race in them on the day of the meet!

Albert Caruana said...

I think it works the other way around in that a team with good upfront runners can do well in smaller meets but their back-end runners really come in to play in the bigger meets.

Anonymous said...

I agree with Albert. Pack running > front running.

Anonymous said...

I'm curious about how the Amador Valley and Monte Vista girls teams are both ranked above Granada in the division rankings, yet Granada is the only NCS D1 girls team on the NorCal rankings?

Anonymous said...

D2 Girls: Northgate girls into top 5, CV and CP out. Please explain what Montgomery has done at any point this year to merit mention. Either drop them or add Windsor, Santa Rosa, and Washington to bubble.

Albert Caruana said...

The rankings you see above were from October 2nd. I will update them at the end of this week. Thank you for the comments so far.

Anonymous said...

O'Dowd girls will lose to Castro Valley again at league championships.

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