What is toughest CCS At-Large distance mark?

Friday, November 13, 2015

Central Coast Section Finals

Thanks to Hank Lawson and all his wizardry with crunching numbers, the following is a list of all the league finals combined and converted to all Crystal Springs times. If you scroll down further in the first link, you will see how all the divisional races this Saturday could potential finish if everybody runs the same time they did at their respective league finals.

http://lynbrooksports.prepcaltrack.com/ATHLETICS/XC/2015/ccs_pred.htm

http://ca.milesplit.com/articles/169056-preview-central-coast-section-finals (My meet preview)

http://lynbrooksports.prepcaltrack.com/ATHLETICS/XC/2015/ccsguess.htm (Walt Van Zant predictions with runners running their PR)

http://lynbrooksports.prepcaltrack.com/ATHLETICS/XC/2015/ccs_ent.pdf (Time schedule and all entries)

Thoughts? Predictions? Surprises? Upsets? 

25 comments:

Anonymous said...

Soquel girls are Divison 3....not Divison 4.

Albert Caruana said...

Hank will fix ASAP. If you spot any other teams in the wrong divisions, please let us know.

Anonymous said...

Branham is D2.

Anonymous said...

D5 Boys race could be very competitive!!!

Hank said...

Corrections made and new file is uploaded. Be sure to refresh your browser.

hank

Hank said...

I have just gotten, and posted, the PSAL results (all D5 schools) and have re-loaded the CCS Predictions file.

hank

Anonymous said...

My prediction: Pain! and a clean sweep for WCAL in boys D1, 2 & 3. Same thing for girls D2. Wow that's a good league.

Anonymous said...

Not all teams listed made it into CCS. Scores should shift a bit.

Hank said...

^ Correct. I leave that to Walt to sort out. My list is more of an "all leagues finals".

hank

Anonymous said...

How about a seep for WCAL on those individual titles?

Anonymous said...

Not sure WCAL gets any individual titles. Looks like Slaney and Robison are too tough. Meeks stepping down to D2 is too good for the rest of the field.

Anonymous said...

D1 Slaney, (could be close)
D2 Robison, (by a mile)
D3 Dozier, (all alone)
D4 Miranda or Munoz, (could be close)
D5, (no idea)

Anonymous said...

Dozier is D2

Anonymous said...

Dozier is D2 this year. Law wins D3. Miranda D4. EJ Kelly D5.

Albert Caruana said...

Paul Colosi of St. Francis CCC has been their #1 runner all year and ran sub 16 at the Serra Invite. He is the favorite for Division V.

Justin Robison should be the favorite for Division II. He has the only sub 15 effort on the Crystal Springs course this year.

I think Division III is wide open.

Division IV will be between Munoz and Miranda. Munoz won last year in a surprise at Toro Park. I think they will be together for the majority of the race and may come down to a kick at the end of the race.

Lastly, Slaney will be the favorite in Division I. He has been the most consistent this year and has the fastest Crystal Springs time going into the section final.

Sal said...

CCS: One Freshman finishes in the top 10 in each D1 and D2, and top 5 in each D3, D4, and D5 (possible win in D5). Heard it here first.

Anonymous said...

Looks like Los Altos boys are in D2 and girls are in D1... can you confirm?

Zaeske has a real shot in D2.

Anonymous said...

Yes, Los Altos is in D2 and Zaeske has a chance but Robison is the favorite, running under 15 a few weeks ago.

Anonymous said...

Los Altos girls are D1. Call it the Bellarmine affect.

Hank said...

Here is a much more accurate CCS Prediction by Walt VanZant (Wilcox) where he uses only the teams and athletes that are actually entered in CCS.

http://lynbrooksports.prepcaltrack.com/ATHLETICS/XC/2015/ccsguess.htm

hank

Anonymous said...

As to Walt's comparison, Julia Bounds Saint Francis ran 18:43 at WCAL at Crystal which changes the Mitty vsSFHS comparison

Anonymous said...

By Walt
I mixed up the times of three St.Francis girls. Bounds should be at 18:43, Zhao should be at 19:21, and Seaman should be at 19:51. This did not change the possible Mitty/St.Francis scores and changed two other teams by 1 point each, which did not change their places.

Anonymous said...

St. Francis - Mitty girls matchups have been a great spectacle all season. In addition to WCAL meets, they also ran head-to-head and finished within points / seconds of each other as a team at the Clovis Invitational. Assuming everyone stays healthy, it seems the matchup at CCS (like WCAL champs) favors St. Francis slightly, where relatively strong #2 and #3 runners on SF edge out Mitty's slight edge at #4 and #5. However, the opposite MIGHT be true at the state meet, where competition will be deeper and strong #4 and #5 finishes may be decisive...

Let's hope both teams can stay healthy and represent CCS / NorCal to the fullest at the state meet!

Anonymous said...

Congrats to St. Francis for winning the Boys and Girls DII CCS Championships yesterday. Good luck at Sate!

Albert Caruana said...

Two hard earned victories!

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