Thursday, November 19, 2009

NCS Cross Country Pre-Meet Rankings

Check out the rankings below. Feel free to comment and make observations. To be honest, some divisions have several teams that have a shot to win and it wouldn't be a surprise if the 4th or 5th ranked team below won the ncs title. Should make for an excellent day of racing. Best of luck to all teams and individuals competing.

You can get a complete summary of the divisions as well as all the league results at the meet inside the meet program.

North Coast Section
November 21, 2009-Hayward High School
NCS/Les Schwab Cross Country Championships Race Schedule and Preview

RACE SCHEDULE (Same order as State Meet)
WALK THE COURSE 7:30 - 8:45 A.M.
9:00am Division II Girls’ Race
9:35am Division III Girls’ Race
10:10am Division II Boys’ Race
10:40am Division III Boys’ Race
11:10am Division IV Girls’ Race
11:45am Division V Boys’ Race
12:15pm Division I Girls’ Race
12:50pm Division IV Boys’ Race
1:20pm Division V Girls’ Race
1:55pm Division I Boys’ Race

Awards Schedule: (in the gymnasium)
10:30am Girls’ Division II
10:50am Girls’ Division III
11:10am Boys’ Division II
11:30am Boys’ Division III
12:00pm Girls’ Division IV
12:30pm Boys’ Division V
1:00pm Girls’ Division I
1:35pm Boys’ Division IV
2:05pm Girls’ Division V
2:40pm Boys’ Division I

The State CIF/NCS Divisions are as follows:
Division I 2,051 and up
Division II 1,601
- 2,050
Division III 1,151
- 1,600
Division IV 500
- 1,150
Division V 499 or less

NCS Preview:
Thank you very much to all the coaches and athletes who helped me break down each division. The following is my best attempt to predict the top 5 teams as well as the top individuals for each division (boys and girls) in today’s sectional meet. The teams from this meet that will qualify for the State Meet at Woodward Park in Fresno on November 28th are noted for each division. The top 5 individuals from each race will also qualify to the state meet provided they are in the top 12 when 2 teams qualify, top 14 when 3 teams qualify, top 16 when 4 teams qualify and top 18 when 5 teams qualify.

The top 3 teams in each division will receive medals. Seven (7) medals will be provided per team of seven.

The top 7 individuals in each race will receive medals.

Division I
Girls - (Top 2 teams advance to state meet):

1. Castro Valley
2. San Ramon Valley
3. Monte Vista
4. Amador Valley
5. Granada

Boys - (Top 2 teams advance to state meet):
1. San Ramon Valley
2. Castro Valley
3. De La Salle
4. Amador Valley
5. Monte Vista

Division II
Girls - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):

1. Montgomery
2. Casa Grande
3. College Park
4. Santa Rosa
5. Carondelet

Boys - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):
1. College Park
2. Santa Rosa
3. Alameda
4. Casa Grande
5. Montgomery

Division III
Girls - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):

1. Maria Carrillo
2. Acalanes
3. Campolindo
4. Petaluma
5. Redwood

Boys - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):
1. Petaluma
2. Campolindo
3. Maria Carrillo
4. Piner
5. Miramonte

Division IV
Girls - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):

1. Sir Francis Drake
2. Dougherty Valley
3. St. Mary’s Berkeley
4. Piedmont
5. Tamalpais

Boys - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):
1. San Rafael
2. St. Mary’s Berkeley
3. Tamalpais
4. Piedmont
5. Sir Francis Drake

Division V
Girls - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):

1. University
2. College Prep
3. Lick Wilmerding
4. Marin Academy
5. Sonoma Academy

Boys - (Top 5 teams advance to state meet):
1. Redwood Christian
2. University
3. Urban
4. College Prep

Santa Rosa Christian


Anonymous said...

Wait, where are the individuals?

Good rankings though. Can't say I disagree with any of them.

Albert Caruana said...

Thank you.

Will get individuals up there tonight.

Comments are welcome.

Michael Powell said...

I took a hot steamy dump on your erroneous Girls D3 rankings.

NCS is no joke said...

wow, let's have some maturity here. albert works hard, and this is what he gets??

Anonymous said...

Let your legs do the talking, not your bowels.

Albert Caruana said...

Feel free to share your predictions of the div. III girls' race Mr. Powell.

Anonymous said...

Are you so sure about Castro Valley girls after the times they posted for league on the same course as NCS? One minute gap between second and third runners..

George Marks said...

I agree with Michael Powell in as much as your rankings will be disproved, however, I seriously doubt they warrant being defecated upon.

Typically in the NCS, the races end up being Dual meets between the sections perennial best. The other teams tend to have little impact on the outcome between the clash of the top teams. If Campolindo beat Acalanes at their league meet, I think it is highly likely these results will be repeated.

As for Maria Carrillo, it is much harder to calculate how they will do against Campolindo. Both teams are championship performers, but I think Campolindo has better experience, and will come out on top. The margin of victory will probably be quite narrow.

We will see.

Coach Pup said...

I will say that if Campolindo and Acalanes run the same races they ran at league at tomorrow's NCS meet, Acalanes will finish ahead of Campolindo. The key is to look at the gaps between runners and where points can be gained and lost. In a big meet format, Acalanes has better potential due to smaller gaps between runners. A quick conversion of league meet times will reveal this.

As for the issue of experience, Maria Carrillo is the defending section champion and is led by 2 very seasoned and talented seniors. You would be hard-pressed to find more battle-tested runners than the Curtin twins.

All this is extraneous rambling at this point...a few hours from now, the ladies--not the prognosticators--will decide who is the very best.

Good luck to everyone tomorrow.

Albert Caruana said...

I was asked to rank the teams for the NCS program. With the help of many coaches and athletes, I came up with the most educated guesses on who will win tomorrow.

Will I get every single division (boys and girls) right? Probably not. Will some teams rise and run above where I ranked them? Of course!

That is why they actually run the races.

You can disagree and make your points but when somebody makes a comment like Michael Powell, that comment speaks for itself. I don't need to elaborate.

As always, best of luck to all teams and individuals. If some teams end up using the rankings for motivation, awesome.

Ruben DiRado said...

Thanks Albert - briefly said, your rankings help draw attention to the sport and to the NCS championships. Here's a good example - The Santa Rosa PressDemocrat quotes you in their NCS preview story which will run tomorrow:
Good luck to all at NCS -- should be fun!

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