Here are my rankings before I turn them in as part of the preview article that you can get with the meet program on Saturday. Please let me know by commenting below if I missed anybody or if I am way off with my rankings in any way. Thank you in advance for any comments.
Division I
Girls - (Top 2 teams advance to state meet):
1. Amador Valley
2. Granada
3. Monte Vista
4. San Ramon Valley
5. Mission San Jose
Boys - (Top 2 teams advance to state meet):
1. De La Salle
2. San Ramon Valley
3. Amador Valley
4. James Logan
5. Granada
Girls - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):
1. Maria Carrillo
2. Casa Grande
3. Alameda
4. Northgate
5. Clayton Valley Charter
Boys - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):
1. Maria Carrillo
2. Casa Grande
3. Livermore
4. College Park
5. Dublin/Alameda
Division III
Girls - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):
1. Campolindo
2. Las Lomas
3. Bishop O’Dowd
4. Redwood
5. Tamalpais/Miramonte
Boys - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):
1. Campolindo
2. Miramonte
3. Bishop O’Dowd
4. Las Lomas
5. Acalanes/Redwood
Division IV
Girls - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):
1. Piedmont
2. St. Mary’s Berkeley
3. Arcata
4. Sir Francis Drake
5. Piner
Boys - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):
1. St. Mary’s Berkeley
2. San Rafael
3. Arcata
4. McKinleyville
5. Sir Francis Drake/Piner
Division V
Girls - (Top 6 teams advance to state meet):
1. Lick Wilmerding
2. Branson
3. Convent of the SH
4. University
5. Athenian
6. Urban/College Prep
Boys - (Top 5 teams advance to state meet):
1. St. Joseph Notre Dame
2. Lick-Wilmerding
3. Marin Academy
4. Athenian
5. University/College Prep
Division I
Girls - (Top 2 teams advance to state meet):
1. Amador Valley
2. Granada
3. Monte Vista
4. San Ramon Valley
5. Mission San Jose
Boys - (Top 2 teams advance to state meet):
1. De La Salle
2. San Ramon Valley
3. Amador Valley
4. James Logan
5. Granada
Girls - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):
1. Maria Carrillo
2. Casa Grande
3. Alameda
4. Northgate
5. Clayton Valley Charter
Boys - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):
1. Maria Carrillo
2. Casa Grande
3. Livermore
4. College Park
5. Dublin/Alameda
Division III
Girls - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):
1. Campolindo
2. Las Lomas
3. Bishop O’Dowd
4. Redwood
5. Tamalpais/Miramonte
Boys - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):
1. Campolindo
2. Miramonte
3. Bishop O’Dowd
4. Las Lomas
5. Acalanes/Redwood
Division IV
Girls - (Top 3 teams advance to state meet):
1. Piedmont
2. St. Mary’s Berkeley
3. Arcata
4. Sir Francis Drake
5. Piner
Boys - (Top 4 teams advance to state meet):
1. St. Mary’s Berkeley
2. San Rafael
3. Arcata
4. McKinleyville
5. Sir Francis Drake/Piner
Division V
Girls - (Top 6 teams advance to state meet):
1. Lick Wilmerding
2. Branson
3. Convent of the SH
4. University
5. Athenian
6. Urban/College Prep
Boys - (Top 5 teams advance to state meet):
1. St. Joseph Notre Dame
2. Lick-Wilmerding
3. Marin Academy
4. Athenian
5. University/College Prep
Your predictions are so good, there us no need to run the meet. 😀
ReplyDeleteAnyone know what the order of races is?
ReplyDeleteDIVISION I GIRLS 8:30 A.M.
ReplyDeleteDIVISION II GIRLS 9:05 A.M.
DIVISION I BOYS 9:40 A.M.
DIVISION II BOYS 10:10 A.M.
DIVISION III GIRLS 10:40 A.M.
DIVISION IV BOYS 11:15 A.M.
DIVISION V GIRLS 11:45 A.M.
DIVISION III BOYS 12:20 P.M.
DIVISION IV GIRLS 12:50 P.M.
DIVISION V BOYS 1:25 P.M.
The races will be way more exciting than my rankings. I can only make educated guesses but the runners can really make it happen on Saturday.
ReplyDeleteLooking forward to a great meet.
I still can't believe that Urban isn't ranked above St. Joseph's Notre Dame! Urban's running program is unparalleled!!!...even by Arcadia High School! If they don't win, I will be truly amazed and might even quit running altogether.
ReplyDeleteWhat happened to the Acalanes girls? Defending NCS champs to not fielding a full team...Sad to see. Hope they come back.
ReplyDeleteDon't forget about Castro Valley girls for D1 . They have a strong top three and a solid team to back them up. I out them in contention for top 5 or even state
ReplyDeleteSRV boys over AV boys even after EBAL? not saying I disagree but that's interesting
ReplyDelete"I still can't believe that Urban isn't ranked above St. Joseph's Notre Dame! Urban's running program is unparalleled!!!...even by Arcadia High School! If they don't win, I will be truly amazed and might even quit running altogether."
ReplyDeleteLol. Well played
I like most of theses rankings.I would put O'Dowd as favorites but I can see why they could be 3rd.
ReplyDeleteBoth Odowd teams don't have the front end to hang with these bigger and better teams that is why they are third in my opinion.
ReplyDeleteThe O'Dowd boys have the best front end in all of NCS besides DLS
ReplyDeleteIt is the back end that hurts them... they can't have their 4/5 running 17 minutes and win. Every other team has solid enough guys up front (Campo with Adian and Weinberg, Redwood with Huxham and Andy, Acalanes with Gaskell and Wang..). In a race with every team having frontrunners the back 4/5 will make or break it for these teams.
ReplyDeleteNobody from O'Dowd will finish in the top 10 guaranteed.
ReplyDeleteMelendez ran a 15:30 at Mt. Sac, a 15:45 at Clovis, and has probably ran that course more than anyone in all of NCS.
ReplyDeletepretty gutsy "guaranteeing" nobody from o'dowd in the top 10.
O'Dowd boys should be fine as long as their top guy(s) don't get sick
ReplyDeleteMelendez also ran 16:10 at WACC finals at hayward
ReplyDeleteMelendez can break the top ten. And O'Dowd has a good front (However, to say they have the best besides DLS is a little hopeful). It will be a close race but I think O'Dowd will win because of their 3.
ReplyDeleteAnd back to reality:
ReplyDeleteEveryone knows Campo has the best team in the NCS on both sides.
You're welcome.
@ 1:21
ReplyDeleteI'm sure DLS and SJND would have something to say about that... and there's this guy named Fred Huxham that Goltra needs to concerned about. You're welcome.
If DLS can get a good race out of their 5th guy at State they could be lookin at a top 2 finish.
ReplyDeleteThanks Chris. Good luck to all 3 of you guys on Saturday!
ReplyDeleteWell said Chris
ReplyDeleteWho's McKinleyville in D4?
ReplyDeleteMcKinleyville is in the same league as Arcata. The boys finished 2nd to Arcata by only 8 points. Their top girl, Morgin Coonfield, is the favorite to win the girls race in Division IV.
ReplyDeletewhos the favorite to win the d4 boys race?
ReplyDeleteBased on fastest returners from last year's section meet, I think it's Efren Reyes and Jose Lopez.
ReplyDeleteI haven't seen much from the College park guys. Where have they run faster than Dublin's packed 1-5? Dublin ran extremely well early on the NCS course at the Farmers invite
ReplyDeleteI think that the race between Amador and SRV will be something to look forward to.
ReplyDeleteIt would be interesting to get Albert's post-NCS analysis of how certain races played out versus his pre-NCS rankings. I wouldn't have disagreed, for example, with the pre-race prediction of Amador and Granada girls over Monte Vista and San Ramon, but look what happened. What's the story there? Sadly, the newspaper didn't cover this race at all.
ReplyDeleteI was thinking about doing something like that and compare pre-meet predictions and what actually took place. I was very accurate in some races and a bit off in others. If I have some free time later, I will see what I can do.
ReplyDelete