Absolutely. Last year's field was very impressive with the eventual state champion, Fred Huxham, winning. It will be very interesting who will win this year but I am fairly positive that it will be a very fast time (provided the wind cooperates).
If you made me pick one runner, I would take Steven Sum right now. It seems like he is a 5th year, redshirt high school runner and I believe has the fastest PR in the field. Can't wait to watch.
The winner will be faster than last year I predict
4:37.??/4:30.?? splits for the winner.
9:07/9:08 to take it and 3 guys will break 9:15 and maybe 6 under 9:20.
I beg to differ, the quality of last year's group was the best it has been in many years. NO ONE is going to run that fast at this time of the year. IMHO
Finnane is debuting, Bowen tripling, McCandless running the 800. Should be interesting.
No real standout in the boys 3200 in my opinion - Burke, Ehrenberg, Kurdy, Schumann and then a bunch of boys around 9:40. I also don't think anyone breaks 9:10 here.
I wouldn't be surprised if the winner is somewhere between 9:10 and 9:15. The question will be how honest the pace will be early and who closes well. Should be a great race.
I think 3/4 of the guys in this race have the ability to run 4:16 right now if pushed for 1600 so with that current fitness level and if those inidividuals have the ability to close hard which I am sure they can they are capable of a 9:10.
It's all going to come down to how honest the opening mile pace is they clearly will push each other.
On the flip side could be a very tactical race with a very slow opening mile and really fast last 1200.
Should be one great boys two mile
ReplyDeleteAbsolutely. Last year's field was very impressive with the eventual state champion, Fred Huxham, winning. It will be very interesting who will win this year but I am fairly positive that it will be a very fast time (provided the wind cooperates).
ReplyDeleteI don't believe there is a clear favorite among that group, definitely 4 or 5 guys that are in serious contention to win it.
ReplyDeleteIf you made me pick one runner, I would take Steven Sum right now. It seems like he is a 5th year, redshirt high school runner and I believe has the fastest PR in the field. Can't wait to watch.
ReplyDeleteThe winner will be faster than last year I predict
ReplyDelete4:37.??/4:30.?? splits for the winner.
9:07/9:08 to take it and 3 guys will break 9:15 and maybe 6 under 9:20.
Too bad Las Lomas will be missing their two fastest distance runners for the 3200. Hansel and Robey have Jr. Prom on Saturday
ReplyDeleteThis is question just out of curiosity, what time in the 3200 is generally needed to quallify to Arcadia?
ReplyDeleteAnonymous said...
ReplyDeleteThe winner will be faster than last year I predict
4:37.??/4:30.?? splits for the winner.
9:07/9:08 to take it and 3 guys will break 9:15 and maybe 6 under 9:20.
I beg to differ, the quality of last year's group was the best it has been in many years. NO ONE is going to run that fast at this time of the year. IMHO
I think this will definitely be a break-out race where many of these same competitors we will see at the state meet.
ReplyDeleteBut the race doesn't seem to have the depth to drive a very fast time. My guess would be winner around 9:15.
Finnane is debuting, Bowen tripling, McCandless running the 800. Should be interesting.
ReplyDeleteNo real standout in the boys 3200 in my opinion - Burke, Ehrenberg, Kurdy, Schumann and then a bunch of boys around 9:40. I also don't think anyone breaks 9:10 here.
@andrew I guess Sum will be one of this 9:40 guys?
ReplyDeleteI think plenty of guys in mid 9:20s and low 30s
I forgot about Sum...I actually picked him to win it in the contest!
ReplyDeleteI wouldn't be surprised if the winner is somewhere between 9:10 and 9:15. The question will be how honest the pace will be early and who closes well. Should be a great race.
ReplyDeleteSeriously, who in that field can run 9:10 in at this time of year? NO ONE!
ReplyDeleteI think 3/4 of the guys in this race have the ability to run 4:16 right now if pushed for 1600 so with that current fitness level and if those inidividuals have the ability to close hard which I am sure they can they are capable of a 9:10.
ReplyDeleteIt's all going to come down to how honest the opening mile pace is they clearly will push each other.
On the flip side could be a very tactical race with a very slow opening mile and really fast last 1200.